A new Manhattan Institute poll shows democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani leading rival Andrew Cuomo 46-31 in the race to become New York City’s next mayor, with Republican Curtis Sliwa trailing with 21 percent. The poll roughly aligns with others in recent weeks, putting New York City on the precipice of an unprecedented era. 

Many have comforted themselves by saying New York City survived Bill De Blasio’s crime surge and stagnation. Tourism rebounded. The 44% murder spike stabilized under Mayor Eric Adams. Out-migration stopped — population actually grew in 2023 and 2024.