The first votes of the 2028 Republican presidential nominating contest are less than two years away. But if the primaries and caucuses were held today, Vice President JD Vance would win an outright majority of delegates.

As I have argued previously, under that scenario, Republicans could save themselves the expense of holding primaries and caucuses in every state and territory and convening the 2028 Republican National Convention in Houston. That money would be better spent on the general election campaign against Democrats.