“Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!” In a later post, Trump said oil will flow, “upon the signing of the Deal on Friday.”

TRUMP SAYS PEACE DEAL BETWEEN U.S. AND IRAN HAS BEEN REACHED

A PEACE DEAL OR RESPITE? So far, no one has seen the text of the U.S. version of the agreement, but details of the 14-point document released by Iranian state media suggest the U.S. made key concessions to Iran, in return for opening the Strait of Hormuz, which the U.S. claimed it already controlled with its blockade and covert escort of ships.

The Reuters news agency reports that among the provisions is “an immediate, permanent halt to war on all fronts, including Lebanon,” a 60-day suspension of sanctions on Iran oil sales, reopening the strait within 30 days “under Iranian arrangements,” a requirement for the U.S. and its allies present reconstruction plans for Iran amounting to at least $300 billion, and payment of half of Iran’s $24 billion in frozen assets before the next phase of nuclear negotiations can begin. Significantly, there is no mention of Iran’s missile program or support of proxies, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon.  

“Honestly, it’s hard to really analyze what we have here because we haven’t seen the text, and until we see the text, it’s hard to know exactly what’s there,” former national security official Brett McGurk said on CNN last night. “This is not like, I would not call this a peace deal or some final resolution,” McGurk said, “I would call this a respite from what has been a very hot war.”

“They’re saying some things that are concerning,” McGurk said of the Iranians, “that the Strait of Hormuz will be basically managed by Iran and Oman. They continue to talk about not charging tolls but charging fees, and say they’re getting some upfront unfreezing of assets.”

“The idea of a $300 billion reconstruction fund, given who is in charge of Iran, seems to be tone deaf,” Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said in a post on X. “It would be akin to a Marshall Plan for Germany with the Nazis still in charge. That wouldn’t have been a good idea then, and any reconstruction fund that benefits this terrorist regime wouldn’t be a good idea now.”

In an appearance on CBS’s Face the Nation, War Secretary Pete Hegseth insisted the Iranian claims of what’s in the deal “are totally wrong.”

“It’s performance-based. No money released to Iran until they perform,” Hegseth said. “There’s no trust here, and we’re going to verify everything. Nuclear material will be destroyed and removed. The nuclear program will be dismantled. The straits will be open. No tolling.”

HEGSETH SAYS TRUMP HAS ‘COMPEL OPTIONS’ IF IRAN FAILS TO DESTROY ITS URANIUM

THE ISRAEL PROBLEM: Iran insists that a permanent ceasefire in Lebanon must be part of the deal, but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insists the right of defense of Israel from Hezbollah attacks will not be negotiated away.

“Trump’s agreement does not bind us. Israel is committed to defending its citizens and soldiers. Israel is not subordinate to the United States — we are an independent and sovereign nation,” Israel’s National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir, posted on X this morning. “We are not partners to this agreement, which does not safeguard our security, and it does not obligate us in any way.”

Trump was furious with Netanyahu yesterday because his retaliatory strikes against Hezbollah targets in southern Beirut nearly scuttled the deal that Trump desperately wanted to seal on his birthday and before heading to the Group of Seven in France today.

“This morning’s attack on Beirut should not have happened, particularly on a special day when we are so close to a Peace Deal with Iran,” Trump posted on Truth Social Sunday morning, “ Israel has the right to defend itself against threats, but the attack it was responding to was very small and meaningless, nobody was hurt, injured, or killed, and should not disrupt this important process.”

Trump was not nearly so restrained when he spoke to Axios’s Barak Ravid, who posted on X. “President Trump told me: ‘Why did Bibi have to do a f***ing attack? I was so pisse[d] off. I let him know. He has no f***ing judgement. I let him know that.’”

Trump also called the New York Times, complaining that Netanyahu’s “a very difficult guy,” adding, “to be honest with you, he should be very thankful to us for doing this. Because if Iran had a nuclear weapon, Israel wouldn’t be around for two hours.”

LEBANESE ARMY WITHDRAWS FROM SOUTHERN VILLAGE AFTER ISRAELI TROOPS ADVANCE NEARBY

Good Monday morning, and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Christopher Tremoglie. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. 

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HAPPENING TODAY: Trump boarded Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews in the predawn hours this morning as he heads to the spa town of Evian-les-Bains in the French Alps for a Group of Seven summit, where he will seek the assistance of allies in clearing and managing the Strait of Hormuz, which he insists will soon be open to commercial shipping without tolls.

Meanwhile, Iran’s Fars news agency reports that under the interim memorandum of understanding, Iran is only committed to allow vessels to transit free of charge for 60 days, and that Iran plans to generate revenue by charging for safety, navigation, environmental and insurance services after a 60-day period.

In his phone interview with the New York Times, Trump said that the agreement would ultimately assure that the Strait of Hormuz was “permanently toll-free.”

OBAMA SAYS IT’S ‘DOUBTFUL’ TRUMP’S IRAN DEAL WILL DIFFER FROM 2015 FRAMEWORK

ALSO TODAY: War Secretary Pete Hesseth will meet with the Ecuadoran President Daniel Noboa at the Pentagon at 1:45 p.m. 

The meeting comes after a joint U.S.-Venezuelan operation last week killed Nino Guerrero, a founder of Tren de Aragua. On Friday, Trump posted a video on Truth Social, showing Guerrero’s compound in Venezuela destroyed by a U.S. airstrike.

“At my direction, the United States Southern Command delivered a swift and lethal kinetic strike to successfully execute Niño Guerrero, the infamous leader of Tren De Aragua, one of the most bloodthirsty Terrorist Organizations on Planet Earth,” Trump said in his post. “This action was coordinated closely with our friends in Venezuela, with whom we are working very well. As a result, Tren de Aragua terrorists no longer have safe haven in Venezuela or anywhere else.”

“Under my leadership, we will find these vicious murderers and drugs lords anytime, anyplace, and send them to the depths of hell where they belong,” Trump said. In his Face the Nation appearance, Hegseth said other countries in the region, including Ecuador and Guatemala, are also cooperating with the U.S. 

“It’s called the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition, A3C, and we’re forming it with partner governments all around Central and South America to go after, defeat, and destroy foreign terrorist organizations, drug cartels,” Hegseth said. 

JUST DON’T COMPARE IT TO THE JCPOA: Nothing irritates Trump more than when Democrats, analysts, or journalists suggest the Trump new Iran deal is no better or even worse than the Obama-era Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action or “JCPOA.”

When Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), the top Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee, made that argument on Fox News Sunday, it sent Trump into a rage and prompted him to call for Reed’s impeachment. “Reed is either an outright fraud, or incompetent,” Trump said, labeling Reed a “Dumocrat,” and claiming he “lied when stating the the Deal we just made is not as good as the Obama disaster known as the JCPOA.”

“Impeach Jack Reed!” Trump railed on Truth Social. 

“We’re in a much worse position than we were under the JCPOA,” Reed told Fox News host Shannon Bream. “The breakout time, that is, the time it would take to assemble enough enriched uranium to develop a weapon, was 12 months during the JCPOA. Today, it’s weeks.”

“Now we have even more fanatical leadership who has much more invested and much more to leverage their position,” Reed said. “Abandoning the JCPOA was a bad mistake by the president. Now, we can try to get back, but it’s going to be a difficult process to get back to that position.”

“The JCPOA, was an easy, beautiful, smooth road to a Nuclear Weapon, which Iran would have had six years ago, and would have used long before now,” Trump said in a separate post. “My Agreement with Iran is the exact opposite, A WALL TO NO NUCLEAR WEAPON!”

Over on CBS, Hegseth was sparring with host Margaret Brennan, who pointed out what many pundits have, that the 2015 agreement contains the exact same pledge by Iran never to acquire a nuclear weapon by any means.

“The document says Iran will never have a nuclear weapon, won’t seek one, won’t buy one, won’t have one,” Hegseth said

“JCPOA said that too,” Brennan interrupted.

“But they didn’t have the threat of military force the way that we do, that Iran respects,” Hegseth countered.

WHOSE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL IS BETTER, TRUMP’S OR OBAMA’S?

THE RUNDOWN: 

Washington Examiner: Trump says peace deal between U.S. and Iran has been reached

Washington Examiner: Trump rips Israel for striking Beirut on ‘special day’: ‘Should not have happened’

Washington Examiner: Trump scolds Netanyahu for having ‘no f***ing judgment’ after Beirut strike 

Washington Examiner: Trump says Netanyahu should be thankful for Iran deal: ‘A very difficult guy’

Washington Examiner: Lebanese army withdraws from southern village after Israeli troops advance nearby

Washington Examiner: Hegseth says Trump has ‘compel options’ if Iran fails to destroy its uranium

Washington Examiner: Obama says it’s ‘doubtful’ Trump’s Iran deal will differ from 2015 framework

Washington Examiner: Whose Iran nuclear deal is better, Trump’s or Obama’s?

Washington Examiner: Hegseth dismisses claims of U.S. munitions shortages

Washington Examiner: Elbridge Colby calls for UK to increase military strength in wake of defense secretary’s resignation

Washington Examiner: Taiwan opposition leader praises ‘gentle’ Xi Jinping as she insists her nation must embrace Chinese identity

Washington Examiner: Britain detains sanctioned oil tanker believed to be linked to Russia’s shadow fleet

Washington Examiner: How Turkey came to position itself as a dominant power

Washington Examiner: Anthropic export limits ‘partly’ due to suspicions over Chinese access: Report

Washington Examiner: Trump faces uphill battle to replenish oil stockpiles headed to record lows

Washington Examiner: US killed Tren de Aragua leader in coordination with Venezuela, Trump says

Washington Examiner: Opinion: The Twelve-Day War, twelve months later: What will Trump do next with Iran?

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Trump’s very public inner dialogue on Iran

New York Times: Trump Claims Strait Will Be ‘Permanently Toll-Free’ Under Agreement With Iran

CNN: US military rushed to prepare ground mission to capture Iran’s uranium, but Trump paused it, sources say

The Hill: Trump, Hegseth Lean on GOP to Move Defense Dollars

Politico: Beijing Blasts Pentagon’s Latest Chinese Military Company List

Wall Street Journal: Amazon CEO’s Talks With U.S. Officials Triggered Crackdown on Anthropic Models

NBC News: Trump Mulls Inaugural Flight of New Air Force One at Mount Rushmore Event

The Atlantic: The Boeing 747 Begins Its Final Descent

Aviation Week: Boeing Drops Out of US Navy Trainer Competition

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Senators Want to Build Back MQ-9 Fleet by 2028

Breaking Defense: Pentagon May ‘Sacrifice’ Traditional Weapons to Buy More Drones if Reconciliation Fails: CTO

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Senate Committee Backs Multiyear Deals for F-35, F-15EX

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Congress Wants Controls on How AI Is Used for Targeting and Planning

DefenseScoop: 1.5M People Use GenAI.mil, Pentagon CTO Says

Defense One: Push for New Cyber Force Service Branch Narrowly Fails in the Senate

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Senators Want Pentagon to Tap in to Commercial On-Orbit Data Centers 

Breaking Defense: Better Collaboration Needed on SOCOM Programs, Says Government Watchdog

The War Zone: A-10 Warthogs Arrive In England Festooned with Nose Art and Mission Markings from Epic Fury

Wall Street Journal: Opinion: A Hypersonic Missile on a Beer Budget

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | JUNE 15 

10:30 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “How to Transform the Japan Self-Defense Force for Twenty-First-Century Deterrence,” with David Byrd, fellow, Hudson Center for Defense Concepts and Technology; Bryan Clark, director, Hudson Center for Defense Concepts and Technology; and Masashi Murano, Hudson Japan chair https://www.hudson.org/events/how-transform-japan-self-defense-force

12:30 p.m. 1400 L St. NW — Atlantic Council discussion: “How should the United States counter Russia and China’s hybrid warfare?” with Anna Puglisi, technology and security fellow, RAND Corporation; Sean Wiswesser, former CIA senior operations officer; John Sipher, former CIA senior operations officer; and Victor Atkins, nonresident senior fellow, Atlantic Council’s Center for Strategy and Security https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/

TUESDAY | JUNE 16 

9 a.m. 1250 South Hayes St., Arlington, Va. — Defense One Tech Summit: “Mission: Robot,” with Joseph Jewell, assistant secretary of defense for science and technology; Eric Davis, program manager, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency Strategic Technology Office; Nina Khan, strategic operational energy integration lead for the Office of the Defense Undersecretary for Acquisition and Sustainment’s Operational Energy-Innovation Directorate; Maj. Gen. Dominique Luzeaux, special adviser to supreme allied commander transformation; Rachel Riley, chief of naval research. Office of Naval Research; and Kedar Pavgi, director of strategy and operations at the Defense Department Defense Innovation Unit, https://events.defenseone.com/2026-defense-one-tech-summit/

11 a.m. — Foreign Policy webinar: “Is the U.S.-Israel Special Relationship Over?” with Joshua Leifer, columnist at Haaretz https://foreignpolicy.com/live/leifer-united-states-israel-special-relationship/

2 p.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: “U.S. Munitions Production,” with Michael Cadenazzi, assistant secretary of defense for industrial base policy; and Becca Wasser, defense lead for Bloomberg Economics and adjunct senior fellow of the CNAS Defense Program https://events.cnas.org/firesidechatmcadenazzivirtual

4:15 p.m. 222 Russell — Senate Armed Services Airland Subcommittee hearing: “Army force modernization in review of the Defense Authorization Request for FY2027 and the Future Years Defense Program” http://www.armed-services.senate.gov

WEDNESDAY | JUNE 17 

9:30 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies conference: “Border Security and Defense Cooperation in North America: Addressing Emerging Challenges.” https://www.csis.org/events/border-security-and-defense-cooperation

10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “The U.S-Israel War with Iran: Is There a Way Out?” with Suzanne Maloney, director, Brookings Institution Foreign Policy Program; Karim Sadjadpour, senior fellow, CEIP Middle East Program; and Aaron David Miller, senior fellow, CEIP American Statecraft Program https://carnegieendowment.org/events

11 a.m. — 1763 N St. NW Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “U.S. Counterterrorism Strategy in the Middle East,” with Colin Clarke, executive director, Soufan Center; Michael Jacobson, senior fellow of the Washington Institute Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence; MEI President Stuart James; and Jason Campbell, MEI senior fellow https://middleeastinstitute.my.site.com/Registration/s/Event

12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual discussion: “Lessons in Military Deterrence from the Iran War: U.S. Strategy in Contested Waters,” with Jennifer Kavanagh, senior fellow and director of military analysis at Defense Priorities; Kelly Grieco, senior fellow, Stimson Center Reimagining U.S. Grand Strategy Program; Brandon Carr, studies associate at the Quincy Institute; and Kelley Beaucar Vlahos, editor-in-chief at Responsible Statecraft and senior adviser at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/events/lessons-in-military-deterrence

3:30 p.m. 1400 L St. NW — Atlantic Council discussion: “The upcoming NATO Summit in Ankara,” with Senate Foreign Relations ranking member Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH); Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Andrea Mitchell, chief Washington and chief foreign affairs correspondent for NBC News https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/senators-jeanne-shaheen-and-thom-tillis-on-the-upcoming-nato-summit-in-ankara/

THURSDAY | JUNE 18 

8 a.m. 1800 Presidents St., Reston, Va. — Potomac Officers Club 2026 Army Summit, with Marc Andersen, assistant Army secretary for financial management and comptroller; Army Deputy Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Jeth Rey; and Jeff Waksman, principal deputy assistant Army secretary for installations, energy and environment, delivers remarks https://www.potomacofficersclub.com/events/2026-army-summit

9 a.m. 1750 Massachusetts Ave. NW —  Peterson Institute for International Economics virtual discussion: “Ukraine’s Fiscal and Financial Challenges,” with former Ukrainian Finance Minister Natalie Jaresko, managing director of EY Parthenon; and Nicolas Veron, PIIE senior fellow https://www.piie.com/index%2Ephp/events/2026/ukraines-fiscal-and-financial-challenges

10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW, — Hudson Institute discussion: “Deterring Russia and China: Securing America’s Nuclear Future,” with Brandon Williams, administrator, National Nuclear Security Administration; and Rebeccah Heinrichs, director, Hudson Keystone Defense Initiative https://www.hudson.org/events/deterring-russia-china

10:30 a.m. 616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “Modernizing to Meet the Future Threat,” with Lt. Gen. Eric Austin, deputy commandant of combat development and integration for the Marine Corps and portfolio acquisition executive for the Marine Corps; retired Rear Adm. Raymond Spicer; and Seth Jones, president, CSIS Defense and Security Department https://www.csis.org/events/modernizing-meet-future-threat-conversation

2 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “The Future of Extended Deterrence: Will Japan and Korea Go Nuclear?” with Will Todman, chief of staff, CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department; Victor Cha, CSIS Korea chair; Kristi Govella, CSIS Japan chair; Michael Green, CSIS Henry A. Kissinger chair; and Heather Williams, director, CSIS Project on Nuclear Issues https://www.csis.org/events/future-extended-deterrence

2 p.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. NW —  Henry L. Stimson Center discussion: “Innovation and Adaptation of UN Peace Operations,” with Lt. Gen. Cheryl Pearce, acting military adviser for peacekeeping operations at the U.N. Department of Peace Operations Office of Military Affairs; and Lisa Sharland, senior fellow and director, Stimson Center Protecting Civilians and Human Security Program https://www.stimson.org/event/innovation-and-adaption-of-un-peace-operations/

2 p.m. — Middle East Institute virtual discussion: “Iraq’s Domestic Transition and Emerging Regional Role,” with Ben Connable, executive director, Battle Research Group; Sarhang Hamasaeed, former director for Middle East programs at the U.S. Institute of Peace; and Jason Campbell, MEI senior fellow https://middleeastinstitute.my.site.com/Registration/s/Event/701Uh00000tZvS0/421-mei-panel-lebanon-between-war-and-diplomacy

3:30 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Nuclear Armed Hypersonic Missiles,” with Heather Williams, director, CSIS Project on Nuclear Issues; Tom Karako, director, CSIS Missile Defense Project; and Kari Bingen, director, CSIS Aerospace Security Project https://www.csis.org/events/nuclear-armed-hypersonic-missiles-htk

FRIDAY | JUNE 19 | JUNETEENTH FEDERAL HOLIDAY

No Daily on Defense

QUOTE OF THE DAY: “Henry Kissinger said successful diplomacy often ‘buys an admission ticket to a more difficult problem.’ The emerging MOU with Iran may prove to be a case in point.” Former National Security official Brett McGurk, in post on X Sunday night