An early look at the 2028 presidential race reveals two contradictory things: Former Vice President Kamala Harris is the front-runner, and she is seemingly out of step with her party’s current mood.

Harris, the 2024 Democratic nominee, leads the hypothetical presidential field by 12.1 points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. She is ahead in seven of the eight polls included in that average since May, often by double digits. The two most recent surveys, conducted by Quantus Insights and the Financial Times, show her clearing a third of the vote while no other Democrat breaks 20%.