Things aren’t going well with the war on Iran, six months after President Donald Trump commenced Operation Epic Fury at the urging of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu and his Mossad director painted a rosy scenario in which a combined U.S.-Israeli air campaign would quickly topple the weakened Iranian regime. Enamored by the success of the January raid to capture Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro, Trump decided to roll the dice.

It hasn’t worked out. Instead, the war has been stuck in a strange stalemate. What happens next?