Putin’s lessons for a confrontation with China

Published September 30, 2022 3:00am ET



Russia’s war against Ukraine and Europe’s travails aimed at “decoupling” its energy sector from Russian natural gas carry valuable lessons for 21st century power competition between the United States and its adversaries, notably China.

Shanghai Factory Workers
Above, workers line up before a shift at a Shanghai factory that is a supply chain link for Apple Inc., April 15, 2016. Below, two examples of Chinese theft of U.S. intellectual property: a J-20 stealth fighter jet thought to be impossibly similar to the U.S.’s F-22; and a wind turbine made by the Chinese company Sinovel, which in 2018 was convicted in U.S. court of stealing trade secrets.
Screen Shot 2022-09-30 at 5.06.24 AM.png

Most important among those lessons has to do with asymmetric warfare. Despite a smaller, less powerful military, Ukraine is winning. It has capitalized on its strengths, including superior morale, better junior officer corps, and access to Western intelligence and reconnaissance technology. Ukrainians have also been able to identify and press against their opponent’s weakest points — mostly the decaying discipline and poor training in the Russian military.

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