Yesterday Axios published a SurveyMonkey poll that measured head-to-head Senate matchups in Missouri, Tennessee, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota, West Virginia, and other key states. Elections Twitter and the political media immediately latched onto the poll and attempted to figure out exactly how good or bad it was for Democrats.

This is a situation where SwingSeat, THE WEEKLY STANDARD’s new data-driven Senate forecast, is very helpful. I fed the new data into the model and updated the main page with the results.

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