One of Washington’s favorite guessing games was in full swing even before the last votes were counted in Tuesday’s presidential election. Who will President-elect Trump pick to lead the Pentagon and State Department as he reshapes U.S. policy on everything from defeating the Islamic State to dealing with Russia?

“Those who know, don’t say. Those who say, don’t know,” quipped James Jay Carafano of the Heritage Foundation. “I am in the category of those who don’t know and don’t say.”