On election eve, just how long are the odds that Evan McMullin will be our next president? The former CIA agent and independent conservative candidate has ballot access in just 43 states—32 in which his name is actually on the ballot and another 11 that allows his name to be written in. Despite the fact that he doesn’t have ballot access in all 50 states, McMullin actually has a shot—a very, very long one—at winning the presidency.