Counterinsurgency gurus David Kilcullen and Andrew Exum wrote an op-ed over the weekend on the U.S. Predator campaign against al Qaeda, the Taliban, and allied terror groups based in the region. Essentially Kilcullen and Exum argue that the campaign is misguided because it hampers the Pakistani government’s ability to wage a counterinsurgency campaign. The Predator campaign is one of the least bad options in a series of really bad options that exist in Pakistan. The fact that we have to launch airstrikes in our own “ally’s” territory is in itself an indication of the very real problems that exist inside Pakistan. This campaign is undesirable, but absent a better plan, what alternative exists to cull the spread of al Qaeda and curb its external operations? Absent the Pakistani military taking on the Taliban and al Qaeda and practicing counterinsurgency techniques to defeat the Taliban and al Qaeda in the tribal areas and the NWFP, there really are no viable options. The Taliban wiped out the most promising of the much-touted “Pakistani Awakening” movement, and the military is even complicit in their destruction by failing to aid them. Clearly a U.S. invasion/counterinsurgency operation in Pakistan is a non-starter. And here is what General Kiyani thinks about COIN:
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