Democrats have not won a significant race for statewide office in Florida in nearly a decade but are clinging to the hope that they can knock off Republican Sen. Marco Rubio in 2022.

Not since 2012, when Barack Obama was reelected president and Bill Nelson was reelected to the Senate, have Democrats won a big statewide race in Florida — unless you count Nikki Fried winning the race for agriculture commissioner in 2018. But even with President Joe Biden replacing former President Donald Trump in the White House, Democrats think Rubio is vulnerable, arguing the party’s emerging consensus challenger, Rep. Val Demings, can defy the odds and beat him.