One of the most unexpected bellwethers in the United States is the Polish American community, which has correctly chosen almost every president since Woodrow Wilson.

Since choosing Wilson in 1916, the Polish American vote has sided with the eventual presidential election winner in all but three votes, giving them an 89% success rate. The vote is highly volatile, frequently switching by double digits to choose another party in the next election. It frequently hinges on the president’s approach toward Poland proper.