Talarico holds 5-point lead over Paxton in Texas Senate race, poll shows

Published September 27, 2026 10:29am ET | Updated September 27, 2026 10:29am ET



Democrat James Talarico leads Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton by 5 points in a new Texas Senate race poll.

The poll from Texas Public Opinion Research, surveying 1,007 likely Texas voters from Sept. 19 to 22, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6%, had Talarico at 49%, Paxton at 44%, Libertarian Ted Brown at 3%, and 3% undecided. Talarico also boasted a 32-point lead among independents. He led with black, Latino, under-55, college-educated, and male and female voters, while Paxton led only with 55 and over and white voters.

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