Democrats hope to get back into the win column in Tuesday’s elections, even if the party’s brand hasn’t recovered since last year’s defeats.

Based on the polling, Democrats have a decent shot. They are favored in the governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey and heavily favored in the New York City mayoral election, where the main alternative to their party’s nominee is former Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who is running as an independent after losing the primary earlier this year.