Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves six gubernatorial elections to favor Democrats

Published March 19, 2026 4:29pm ET



Sabato’s Crystal Ball on Thursday moved six gubernatorial midterm election races to favor Democrats.

The Center for Politics at the University of Virginia’s election monitor moved the ratings for Arizona, Georgia, Ohio, Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island. The latter three went from “likely Democratic” to “safe Democratic”; Arizona went from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic”; Ohio went from “likely Republican” to “leans Republican”; and Georgia went from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.”

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