Iowa Senate candidate Joni Ernst, a Republican, leads her Democratic opponent Bruce Braley by five points, according to a new poll from Republican polling firm Vox Populi. The survey of “active voters” (culled from registered voters who voted in the last two elections) in Iowa found 49 percent support or lean toward Ernst, while 44 percent support or lean toward Braley.

The sample was nearly evenly split between Republicans (35 percent) and Democrats (34 percent), with “Independents” (31 percent) not far behind. The poll also found incumbent Republican governor Terry Branstad with an 11-point lead over his Democratic challenger, Jack Hatch.