Arkansas Democrat Mark Pryor has a 10-point lead in his race to retain his Senate seat, according to a new poll from the New York Times and the Kaiser Family Foundation. A two-term senator, Pryor has 46 percent support, while his challenger, Republican congressman Tom Cotton, has 36 percent support. Pryor also has 47 percent approval rating as senator, the poll found.
The Times poll is the largest lead for Pryor yet in a race that has been seen as one of the tightest of the 2014 cycle. There may be a reason for the outlying numbers: In the poll, 27 percent said they voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, 26 percent said they voted for Barack Obama, and 32 percent said they didn’t vote at all in 2012. Does that reflect the electorate that will come out in the 2014 midterm elections in Arkansas? After all, Romney won Arkansas by 24 points, with more than 60 percent of the vote.