His poor debate performance might have led some pollsters to move Florida, Virginia and North Carolina into Mitt Romney’s win column, but President Obama still leads in enough states to give him an Electoral College victory by seven points.
Proving a point made repeatedly by the Obama campaign that it can lose several states it won in 2008 and still keep the White House, the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics cut 13 Electoral Votes from its September analysis due to the debate, but still has Obama with 277 and Romney 235; 270 are needed.
To win, the Center said, Romney needs Colorado, New Hampshire and Virginia to get to 261. Then he’d need either Ohio or Wisconsin, or both Iowa and Nevada. “This should cheer the GOP,” said the Center.
It’s easier for Obama. The Center expects Obama to take Nevada, Ohio, Iowa and Wisconsin for the win.