Jordan’s China trip isn’t a loyalty test. It’s a receipt

Published August 24, 2026 10:00am ET



King Abdullah II is in Beijing this week, his first visit to China since 2015. The instinct in Washington will be to treat that as a warning sign: a treaty ally’s king courting Xi Jinping, right as commentators reach for words like “hedge” and “pivot.”

The honest answer to whether Washington should care is: a little, but not for that reason. Jordan isn’t choosing sides. It’s shopping for things the United States doesn’t sell.

Start with what Jordan actually wants from Beijing. It isn’t a new patron. Chinese exports to Jordan hit $6.29 billion last year; Jordan sold back roughly $430 million. That’s not a partnership, it’s a customer relationship — and Amman knows it.

What Abdullah is shopping for is different: manufacturing, technology, tourists. In Shanghai, he toured AgiBot, a Chinese robotics manufacturer, and met with executives from leading Chinese corporations to pitch Jordan directly to industrial and commercial partners. He’s floated positioning Jordan as a filming hub for Asian markets, too.

There’s a narrower niche sitting untapped: China’s Christian population, estimated at well over 60 million. Jordan holds the traditional baptism site of Jesus and a string of other biblical landmarks — a pilgrimage market Gulf competitors simply don’t have.

Here’s where Washington should actually pay attention: manufacturing, because Beijing and Washington are already colliding over it.

Jordan’s garment industry was built largely by Asian manufacturers — Chinese firms among them — who set up in Jordanian industrial zones, imported fabric, assembled it, and shipped the finished product to the US duty-free under trade programs dating to 1996 and 2001. It’s a real export sector, and it depends on exactly the kind of Chinese material inputs King Abdullah is courting more of.

Washington just moved to choke that off. A new U.S.-Jordan trade agreement signed July 21 caps American tariffs on Jordan at 10% — down from 20% — but only if Jordan can prove goods made in zones like Irbid and Zarqa aren’t just relabeled Chinese content. Companies that can’t document their supply chain face tariffs snapping back up. Jordan is courting more Chinese manufacturing capital at the exact moment Washington is policing how much of it can touch anything bound for the American market. That’s a real point of friction, and it’s happening now, not hypothetically.

Beijing’s motives matter here, too, because this isn’t really about Jordan. China buys enormous volumes of Iranian oil and has spent the war positioning itself as the neutral party calling for calm in the Strait of Hormuz. A stable, cooperative Jordan is cheap set dressing for that role. Iraq alone has drawn over $12 billion in Chinese investment since 2010; Jordan has drawn $3.56 billion, with 89% of it sitting in the energy sector. China isn’t building leverage in Amman. It’s buying goodwill at a discount.

So, should Washington care? Less than the headlines suggest, and less than the panic implies — but not zero.

On Aug. 4, Jordan signed a separate four-year, $354.6 million agreement with the U.S., two weeks before Abdullah landed in Beijing. Whether or not the timing was deliberate, it doesn’t require Beijing to deliver on a single promise to matter — the mere possibility of an alternative patron is already extracting better terms from the one Jordan already has. That’s not a country being abandoned. But American aid keeps arriving in a form Jordan increasingly needs less of on its own — budget support, military assistance. China’s pitch fills a gap Washington has mostly left alone.

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The security backdrop isn’t abstract. On July 17, an Iranian ballistic missile struck Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, killing three American soldiers on Jordanian soil — the first time Iran killed Americans there directly, after months of missiles crossing Jordanian airspace. A kingdom absorbing that kind of risk, with tourism taking a direct hit from the war next door, has every reason to look for revenue anywhere it can find it.

So, should Washington care that Abdullah is in China? Only if it still thinks aid dollars alone are enough to keep an exposed, aid-dependent ally satisfied. They aren’t, and they haven’t been for a while. The trip isn’t a loyalty test Jordan is failing. It’s a receipt for a bill Washington hasn’t been paying.

Malik AboRashid is an adviser focused on U.S.-Middle East policy, business, and security. He is a graduate of the University of California, Berkeley.