The Blue Wall fell, therefore the “blue wave” surely isn’t coming. This is the conclusion many Republican voters have come to in the wake of the 2016 election, and subsequent promises from President Trump that, in fact, a “red wave” may be coming in the opposite direction, with polls yet again underestimating support for candidates on the right.

Two different Republican organizations – the president’s “America First Policies” group and the RNC – have done opinion research that has found complacency among core Republican voters, who assume the Republican majorities are not in nearly as much danger as is advertised. Over the weekend, the New York Times reported: