Why I’m putting away my political crystal ball

Published February 21, 2016 10:00pm ET



Prognostications are part of a political pundit’s job description. If you bat a Ted Williams-level .400 over your career that’s commentator Hall of Fame stuff. But mostly we all get most of the calls wrong. There are just too many moving parts in politics, including even the weather, as when hurricanes like Sandy and Katrina indelibly impacted not just their physical victims and vast stretches of property but also political careers and elections.

Thus The Daily Caller’s Matt Lewis and I are parading our near perfect win streak of predictions after three GOP primary contests. We have both called both races the same way and got only the bronze in New Hampshire wrong. (We both underestimated the damage Chris Christie did to Marco Rubio.) Eight out of nine win/place/show calls is pretty good, and enough for me to put away my crystal ball for the foreseeable future.

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