The Palestinian Authority has promised three days of rage in response to President Trump’s decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. There will certainly be violence: Burning tires and rock-throwing demonstrations make good video. Stabbings, shooting, and cars running over pedestrians are worth a couple days of headlines, bonus points if hand-wringing pundits blame the victims rather than the terrorists and diplomats rationalize the violence.

But make no mistake: Whatever happens, it will not be spontaneous. Spontaneous protests are a rarity in the Middle East.