GOP pollster and political operative Logan Dobson noted that Republicans shouldn’t sleep on elections in Oregon this year. While legacy media will undoubtedly dismiss the possibility, Oregon could indeed be one of the big electoral surprises come November.
Dobson notes that Democratic Gov. Kate Brown won reelection in 2018 by fewer than 7 points, even though it was a Democratic wave year. In previous Republican wave years, Democrat John Kitzhaber only won by 5 points (in 2014) and fewer than 2 points (2010). Republicans have a larger advantage in the generic vote now than they did in 2010.
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