In theory, the 2016 presidential race is winnable for Republicans. In 14 out of 15 states, GOP turnout is up, sometimes shattering previous records. Democratic turnout is down, sometimes by more than 20 percent.

Yes, that is comparing Democratic turnout to 2008, when you had a highly competitive race for the nomination and Barack Obama was bringing out a lot of young and African-American voters. But Democrats are anxious and it does not bode well for Hillary Clinton’s ability to replicate the Obama turnout juggernaut in November. And lots of Republicans are turning out in states that aren’t particularly competitive.