On Monday, Nov. 5, 2012, Henry Olsen posted on the National Review Online his final prediction for the election on Tuesday, in which he said that Mitt Romney would lose to President Barack Obama by one point and a little less than one hundred electoral votes.

In the end, Romney lost by a little bit more than that. But the reason Olson gave was correct: Romney could not get enough votes from working-class whites in the Midwest and elsewhere, who were sympathetic to much in the GOP’s message, but could not relate to his laissez-faire theme.