A couple of election night observations on Senate races:

Deja vu all over again. Watching the returns coming in from Florida in 2018 was very much like watching the returns coming in from Florida in 2016. In the 8 p.m. ET hour Democrats led, with big margins of initial returns from big counties in south Florida. Democratic three-term Sen. Bill Nelson and Democratic gubnernatorial nominee Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (with help from adulatory press coverage) had led in most recent polls, and so their leads as the votes came in seemed unsurprising, as did Hillary Clinton’s early tabulated vote lead in the early returns from Florida in 2016.