Michael Barone: Thoughts on the (partial) Iowa Democratic caucus results

Published February 5, 2020 2:21pm ET



Three additional points on the still (after 36 hours) incomplete results of the Iowa Democratic caucuses.

1. Turnout was low, with total turnout of approximately 170,000, about the same as in 2016 and well below the 220,000 level of 2008. In 2008, high turnout was a good omen for Democrats, as Barack Obama won 53% of the vote nationwide and 54% in Iowa, which had been an exceedingly close state in both 2000 and 2004. In 2016, in contrast, Hillary Clinton won only 48% of the popular vote nationally and a disastrous 42% in Iowa in November.

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