2024’s tale of two bases

Published February 21, 2024 6:00am ET



There is amazing resiliency in former President Donald Trump’s support and alarming weakness in President Joe Biden’s. 

Nine years after he burst onto America’s political stage, Trump’s support is virtually the same, and likely stronger, than it was in 2016 as he heads into a head-to-head rematch with Biden. In contrast, despite being the incumbent, Biden is running well behind his 2020 performance and even behind former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s in 2016. Biden is on track for the worst Democratic presidential performance since Bill Clinton won 43% of the popular vote in 1992.

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