Heading into the first presidential debate, the 2024 election is clearly President Donald Trump’s race to lose.

A series of polls released ahead of the debate show just how dire the situation is for President Joe Biden just over four months before the election. Biden’s favorability rating according to Gallup is 37%, the lowest it has been since he launched his presidential election campaign in 2019. Trump, meanwhile, is enjoying 46% favorability, nearly a five-year high for him. That number has also been consistently rising over the past year.