Michigan’s Senate race may hinge on a decision black voters in Detroit make in the final days: Turn out for Abdul el Sayed, stay home, or cross over to Rep. Mike Rogers (R-MI).

In the August primary, 108,722 Detroiters cast ballots, only about 21% of registered voters. That is citywide turnout, not a measure of black participation alone. But the result shows the work el Sayed faces.

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