There’s a new edition of the WMUR/University of New Hampshire Granite State poll of the nation’s first primary state. There’s no surprise in who is leading the Republican presidential pack: Sen. Rand Paul has led or been tied for the lead in four of the five Granite State polls since April of last year. This time, he’s in front with 15 percent of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters saying they support him.

A few candidates have experienced changes of fortune in the last year. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie led the poll in July of 2013 with 21 percent; now, after months of scandal accusations and bad headlines, he’s in third place with 12 percent. New Hampshire home state favorite Sen. Kelly Ayotte — who is not running, as far as anyone knows — was at five percent in the poll last year; now she’s tied for second at 13 percent.