The first votes are in and so far the 2012 election is a tie. As they do every four years, the voters of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire voted at midnight last night and the results point to a close race: President Obama got five votes, and so did Mitt Romney.
But while the final result may not tell us anything, the number of people who turned out to vote might. In 2008, Obama beat John McCain 15 to 6 in the same midnight vote. In other words Republican turnout has held steady while Democrat turnout has fallen off a cliff. And that is not a good sign for Obama, who needs Democrats to beat their 2008 turnout numbers if he is to prevail over Romney today.
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