In my recent blogpost on the British elections, I noted that the district boundaries for this election (which for the first time are based on the now nine-year-old 2001 Census) favor the Labour party. And how! Consider what happens when you put the percentages for the three parties in three recent polls into seats according to this website:
Poll %Cons %Lab %LibDem #Cons #Lab #LibDem
TNS 34 29 30 258 264 96
Harris 31 26 30 247 256 115
MORI 32 28 32 238 265 115
In all three polls Labour comes in third in popular vote but first in the number of seats, though far short of the 326 majority needed to form a government without support from other parties.
