President Obama often warns middle-class voters that they face a “make or break moment” in this presidential election, but new polling shows that those voters favor Mitt Romney.

“Mitt Romney currently has a 49 percent to 45 percent edge over Barack Obama among middle-income voters, those whose annual household income is between $36,000 and $89,999,” Gallup reports today. “And within the middle-income group, Romney is running stronger among political independents and is competitive with Obama among middle-income women.”