President Joe Biden‘s reelection team is grasping at straws, and for good reason. The RealClearPolitics polling average has the incumbent down a point to former President Donald Trump nationally, and, more importantly, RCP has Trump slightly ahead in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Michigan, and North Carolina — also known as the states that pick the president.

The bellwethers of days gone by, Ohio and Florida, are almost certainly out of reach for the 46th president. If polls are to be believed, those contests will likely be double-digit victories for Trump.