KEY STATE POLLS: ANOTHER MESS IN THE MAKING? Who is leading the presidential race in the seven states considered most critical to victory in 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada? 

The answer is we don’t really know. If you look at the RealClearPolitics average of state polls, you’ll see that Pennsylvania is exactly tied between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump; in Michigan, Harris is up by 1.1 points; in Wisconsin, Harris is up 1.4 points; in North Carolina, Trump is up by 0.7 points; in Georgia, Harris is up by 0.1 points; in Arizona, Trump is up by 1 point; and in Nevada, Harris is up by 0.6 points.