YOU CAN’T TELL WHO’S WINNING THIS RACE. Harrisburg, Pennsylvania — There are some political races in which, if you go to a few rallies by each candidate, you get a pretty good idea of who is going to win. This presidential race is not like that. If you go to former President Donald Trump‘s rallies and Vice President Kamala Harris‘s rallies, you’ll have wildly different experiences, but you’re also going to find large crowds of highly enthusiastic voters who just love their candidate. The race is not only tied in the polls but is tied in the impressions of intensity and strength that each candidate’s events leave with an outside observer.

In the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, six of the nine most recent polls are tied, or the candidates are separated by a single percentage point. The results in the swing states are similar. In five of the seven swing states, including here in Pennsylvania, the two candidates are separated by 1 point or less. So, the poll numbers of a tied race confirm one’s observations and vice versa.