Red Alert Politics was reporting on Hillary Clinton’s struggle with millennials for months before it became mainstream news, but we may not have emphasized that the Democratic nominee is disliked by all groups of Generation Y — even traditional party loyalists and young black voters.
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Farai Chideya of FiveThirtyEight reported that thousands of young black voters are willing to defy half a century of tradition and vote against the Democratic Party in 2016.
Jonathan Allen, 24, from North Carolina told FiveThirtyEight that he supported Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary, and is now leaning towards the Green Party’s Jill Stein.
He’s not the only one. When a recent Washington Post poll of all black voters is compared with a GenForward poll focusing just on millennials, there is nearly a 30-point difference between older black voters and younger black voters.
Only 60 percent of black millennials were willing to cast their vote for Clinton — keep in mind that poll was taken in early August when Clinton was riding a wave of good press from the Democratic National Convention.
It’s very possible that her support is below 55 or 50 percent today.
This polling aligns with focus groups conducted by Democratic insiders, which found that young black voters were not willing to support Clinton like they supported Obama.
When it comes down to the nuts and bolts of elections, all of this means that purple states with large black populations including Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia are going to be close.
According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Clinton has a six-point lead in Pennsylvania, and a five-point lead in Virginia and Michigan. Trump and Clinton are tied in Florida and North Carolina, and Trump has a two-point advantage in Ohio.
