2024, AN ELECTION ABOUT ELECTIONS. The new poll out from Fox News has a number of intriguing findings. For example, it shows that in a two-way, head-to-head matchup, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden by 5 points. And in a five-way matchup between Biden, Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein, Trump leads Biden by…5 points. The same margin. Maybe all those third-party candidates won’t have a decisive effect on the basic Biden-Trump dynamic after all.

The poll also found Biden’s job approval bouncing in the range this newsletter discussed yesterday. It is 41% at the moment and has never been higher than 47% or lower than 40% in the Fox News poll since September 2021. Biden’s approval rating for many specific issues, such as immigration and the economy, is of course terrible.