Six states — Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Nevada, Ohio and Pennsylvania — give us a glimpse inside something big that is happening under the radar across the country. President Obama won these states, except North Carolina, in 2012. In fact, in 2012, he ran up a cumulative 618,185 vote margin in these states. But that was four years ago. Well, here is the evidence of how quickly times are changing in America.
Today, four years after Obama won these states by over 618,000 votes, the number of registered Democrats in these states has plummeted by more than 775,000. Using the same turnout models but using current registration levels President Obama would have lost re-election. Okay, you say, but hasn’t Republican registration plummeted as well? No, it has not. In fact during the same four years in these six key states, GOP registration has grown by more than 230,000. That represents a swing of one million in just six states where Obama won by only 618,185 votes.
